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自然气候解决方案与净零碳排放

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自然气候解决方案与净零碳排放

 

 Cover: Getty

 Images

 Contents

 For ewor d

 3

 Executive

 summary

  4

 Intr oduction:

 converging

 crises

 and

 the

 need

 for

 a

 sustainable

 recovery

  5

 1 New

 commitments:

 corporate

 climate

 action

 is

 accelerating

  7

 investments

 in

 natur e

 2 Nature:

 the

 key

 to achieving

 net

 zer o

  10

 3 The

 way

 forwar d: unlocking

 the

 potential

 of

 natural

 climate

 solutions

  19

 3.1 Key

 Action

 #1: Define

 net

 zer o

 and

 corporate

 claims

  21

 3.2 Key

 Action

 #2: Highlight

 good practice

 for

 supply

  22

 3.3 Key

 Action

 #3: Send

 a

 demand

 signal

  24

 3.4 Key

 Action

 #4: Impr ove

 market

 ar chitectur e

  25

 3.5 Key

 Action

 #5: Create

 regulatory

 clarity

  27

 3.6 Key

 Action

 #6: Build

 trust

  30

 4 Conclusion

  31

 Contributors

  32

 Endnotes

  33

 ©

 2021

 W orld

 Economic

 Forum.

 All

 rights reserved.

 No

 part

 of

 this

 publication

 may be

 r eproduced

 or

 transmitted

 in

 any

 form or

 by

 any

 means,

 including

 photocopying and

 r ecording,

 or

 by

 any

 information storage

 and

 retrieval

 system.

 January 2021

 Consultation:

 Nature

 and

 Net

 Zer o

  For ewor d

  Bill

 Winters Chief

 Executive

 Officer , Standar d Charter ed

 As

 the

 world

 starts

 to look

 beyond

 the

 COVID-19 pandemic,

 ther e

 is

 a

 compelling

 case

 to addr ess

 the

 climate

 crisis

 in

 the

 context

 of

 the

 global recovery

 and

 r econstruction

 ef fort.

 A war eness

 is growing,

 across

 businesses

 and

 among

 citizens, that

 tackling

 climate

 change

 is

 inextricably

 linked

 to another

 urgent

 envir onmental

 crisis:

 the

 accelerating

 destruction

 of

 nature.

 Natural

 climate

 solutions

 (NCS)

 –

 investment

 in

 conservation

 and

 land

 management programmes

 that

 incr ease

 carbon

 storage

 and r educe

 carbon

 emissions

 –

 of fer

 an

 important

 way

 of addr essing

 both crises

 simultaneously.

  Greenhouse

 gas

 emissions

 fr om

 agriculture,

 forestry and

 other

 land

 use

 contribute

 to about

 a

 quarter

 of global

 emissions,

 and

 it

 is

 estimated

 that

 NCS

 projects can

 help

 deliver

 ar ound

 one-thir d of

 net

 emission r eductions

 needed

 by

 2030.

 However , despite

 their vast

 potential

 for

 r educing

 emissions,

 natural

 climate solutions

 attract

 very

 little

 public

 investment.

  I

 welcome

 this

 r eport

 by

 the

 W orld

 Economic Forum

 and

 McKinsey

 exploring

 the

 opportunities and

 challenges

 involved

 in

 NCS.

 It

 builds

 on

 the

 work of

 the

 T askfor ce

 on

 Scaling

 V oluntary Carbon

 Markets,

 which

 I

 am

 pleased

 to Chair and

 whose

 final

 r eport

 setting

 out

 a

 blueprint for

 infrastructur e

 and

 mechanisms

 to achieve

 rapidly

 rising

 investment

 in

 natur e

 was

 published on

 25

 January.

 T ogether , these

 documents pr ovide

 clear

 and

 detailed

 guidance

 on

 the

 role business

 can

 play

 in

 curbing

 climate

 change, through

 making

 commitments

 to align

 with

 the Paris

 Agreement;

 r eporting

 annually

 on

 their

 emissions

 and

 those

 produced

 in

 their

 value

 chains using

 accepted

 standards;

 and

 compensating

 a

 shar e

 of

 unabated

 emissions

 through

 the pur chase

 and

 retir ement

 of

 carbon

 cr edits.

 Natural

 climate

 solutions

 are

 crucial

 tools

 in

 this transition

 process,

 provided

 they

 are

 underpinned by

 internationally

 accepted

 principles

 and

 rules

 to ensur e

 that

 they

 genuinely

 deliver

 emission r eductions/sequestration,

 and

 to incr ease

 public acceptance

 of

 carbon

 offsetting

 as

 a

 vital

 element

 of the

 climate

 transition.

 This

 cannot

 be

 at

 the

 expense of

 accelerating

 decarbonization

 of

 business

 models. W e

 need

 to drive

 adoption

 of

 available

 solutions

 and also

 invest

 in

 new

 technologies

 that

 cr eate

 viable options

 for

 har d-to-abate sectors.

  This

 r eport

 sheds

 light

 on

 the

 significant

 co-benefits of

 NCS

 to natur e

 and

 humanity.

 Carbon

 market participants

 are

 incr easingly

 recognizing

 these broader

 benefits.

 Not least

 of

 these

 is

 the

 flow

 of private

 capital

 they

 can

 generate

 to countries

 that of fer

 the

 highest

 potential

 for

 NCS

 projects,

 typically for est-rich

 countries

 in

 the

 Global

 South.

  The

 r eport

 shows

 how

 NCS

 are

 being

 pr evented fr om

 fulfilling

 their

 potential

 at

 scale

 by

 conceptual and

 technical

 hurdles.

 The

 lack

 of

 consensus

 on how

 to tr eat

 corporate

 carbon

 r eduction

 claims and

 on

 the

 role

 that

 NCS

 can

 play

 needs

 to be addr essed.

 Agreement

 is

 requir ed

 on

 standards and

 certification

 under

 one

 commonly

 accepted international

 standards

 body.

 Continuing

 public concer ns

 about

 the

 validity

 of

 NCS

 cr edits

 should be

 addr essed

 through

 highlighting

 and

 sharing best

 practice.

 I

 see

 this

 work, alongside

 that

 of

 the T askfor ce

 on

 Scaling

 V oluntary

 Carbon

 Markets, as

 a

 call

 to action

 on

 the

 part

 of

 all

 stakeholders

 to tackle

 these

 hurdles.

  I

 look

 forwar d to seeing

 stakeholders

 r espond

 to this challenge

 by

 charting

 a

 course

 to r ealize

 a

 significant incr ease

 in

 investment

 in

 nature.

 This

 year , as

 we pr epar e

 for

 COP26,

 is

 the

 time

 for

 action.

 Executive

 summary

 Natural

 climate

 solutions

 of fer

 an

 opportunity to

 addr ess

 both climate

 and

 natur e

 crises

 and generate

 significant

 additional

 envir onmental, social

 and

 economic

 benefits.

 – The

 world

 faces

 converging

 envir onmental crises

 that

 are

 inextricably

 linked

 and compounding:

 the

 accelerating

 destruction

 of

 natur e

 and

 climate

 change.

 Natural

 climate

 solutions

 (NCS)

 of fer

 an

 opportunity

 to addr ess both and

 generate

 significant

 additional envir onmental,

 social

 and

 economic

 benefits.

  – Private-sector

 commitment

 to action

 is

 gaining momentum,

 with

 many

 companies

 setting

 the goal

 of

 reaching

 net-zero

 emissions

 and

 some also

 making

 commitments

 on

 nature.

 As

 a

 result, NCS

 are

 gaining

 attention

 and

 carbon

 markets are

 growing

 fast.

 Corporate

 strategies

 that

 aim

 to use

 NCS

 to help

 deliver

 a

 net-zero

 pathway are

 on

 the

 verge

 of

 becoming

 mainstream.

  – NCS

 are

 fundamental

 to delivering

 a

 net-zero pathway

 alongside

 rapid

 decarbonization,

 by enabling

 avoidance/reduction

 of

 emissions,

 and r emoval/sequestration

 of

 carbon

 dioxide

 fr om the

 atmospher e.

  – Reaching

 a

 1.5° or

 2°C

 pathway

 by

 2030

 will requir e

 about

 a

 50%

 net-emission

 r eduction of

 annual

 emissions

 to ar ound

 23

 gigatons

 of carbon

 dioxide

 (Gt

 CO 2 )

 fr om

 2019

 levels.

 – W e

 estimate

 a

 practical

 potential

 of

 close

 to 7Gt

 CO 2

 per

 year

 fr om

 NCS

 projects,

 suf fi cient to deliver

 ar ound

 one-thir d of

 that

 target

 and

 to achieve

 carbon

 removal

 in

 the

 near

 term

 and

 at

 lower

 cost than

 technological

 solutions.

 The

 bulk of

 this

 total

 comprises

 four

 types

 of

 NCS:

 avoided defor estation

 and

 peatland

 impact,

 peatland r estoration,

 reforestation

 and

 cover

 cr ops.

  – NCS

 are

 typically

 low-cost sources

 of

 carbon abatement.

 In

 most

 cases,

 costs

 are

 between

 $10

 and

 $40

 per

 ton

 of

 CO 2

 with

 variations between

 geographies

 and

 project

 types.

  – Beyond

 helping

 to addr ess

 the

 changing

 climate, NCS

 can

 also

 deliver

 significant

 co-benefits

 to natur e

 and

 humanity,

 and

 can

 generate

 private

 capital

 flows

 to countries

 that

 of fer

 the

 highest potential

 for

 NCS

 projects,

 typically

 for est-rich countries

 in

 the

 Global

 South.

  – However , NCS

 are

 being

 held

 back

 fr om

 fulfilling their

 potential

 at

 scale

 by

 various

 conceptual and

 technical

 hurdles,

 starting

 with

 a

 lack

 of consensus

 on

 how

 to tr eat

 corporate

 carbon r eduction

 claims

 and

 on

 the

 role

 that

 NCS

 can play.

 Agreement

 is

 needed

 on

 standards

 and certification

 under

 one

 commonly

 accepted international

 standards

 body.

 Continuing

 public concer ns

 about

 the

 validity

 of

 NCS

 cr edits should

 be

 addr essed

 through

 highlighting

 and sharing

 best

 practices.

  – T o

 over come

 years

 of

 oversupply

 of

 carbon cr edits

 and

 low

 prices,

 a

 demand

 signal

 is needed

 to build

 confidence

 and

 unlock

 the supply

 pipeline

 of

 potential

 NCS

 projects.

  – Market

 ar chitectur e,

 infrastructur e

 and

 financing need

 to be

 developed

 to support

 the

 gr owth of

 NCS

 producing

 tradable

 cr edits,

 as

 set

 out in

 the

 r ecent

 r eport

 of

 the

 T askfor ce

 on

 Scaling V oluntary

 Carbon

 Markets

 (TSVCM).

  – Finally,

 it

 is

 vital

 to build

 coherent

 and

 agreed policy

 frameworks

 at

 either

 the

 national

 or international

 level

 for

 the

 gr owth of

 NCS

 in

 line with

 climate

 goals,

 covering

 such

 issues

 as carbon

 standards,

 rules

 on

 accounting

 at

 the jurisdictional

 or

 project

 level,

 and

 connecting voluntary

 and

 compliance

 markets.

  – This

 demands

 a

 concerted

 ef fort

 to build

 trust and

 a

 broad

 consensus

 on

 the

 value

 of

 NCS

 to addr ess

 the

 lack

 of

 confidence

 in

 the

 integrity

 of NCS

 cr edits,

 the

 markets,

 and

 the

 institutions that

 govern

 them.

 On

 the

 one

 hand,

 ther e

 is

 a need

 to incr ease

 public

 awareness,

 while

 on

 the

 other , it

 is

 critical

 to cr eate

 multistakeholder communities

 of

 trust

 to air

 and

 addr ess conceptual

 dif fer ences.

 Below:

 Getty

 Images

  Intr oduction:

 converging crises

 and

 the

 need

 for a

 sustainable

 r ecovery

 NCS

 should

 be

 an

 integral

 component

 of economic

 strategies

 to

 ensur e

 a

 “gr een r ecovery”

 fr om

 the

 ravages

 of

 COVID-19.

 The following discussion

 paper sets

 out

 an action

 agenda

 to

 accelerate

 the scale-up

 of

 high- quality

 NCS

 and unlock

 markets thr ough

 the combined

 ef forts of

 business leaders,

 policy- makers

 and

 civil

 society . As

 the

 world

 emerges

 fr om

 the

 health

 and economic

 crises

 caused

 by

 COVID-19,

 we

 face converging

 envir onmental

 crises:

 the

 accelerating destruction

 of

 natur e

 and

 climate

 change.

 These crises

 are

 inextricably

 linked

 and

 compounding.

  Although

 the

 benefi...

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